Thursday 13 February 2014

Duke/UNC Betting Analysis

The Tobacco Road Rivalry will be renewed tonight as the 8th-ranked Duke Blue Devils (19-5, 8-3 ACC) take the short trip to Chapel Hill to face off against the unranked North Carolina Tar Heels (16-7, 6-4 ACC). While Duke is currently listed as a 2-seed in Joe Lunardi’s most recent bracketology, North Carolina still has work to do and is currently listed as an 8-seed.
 
According to our College Basketball betting trends, the Blue Devils, led by their freshman superstar Jabari Parker, opened as 3-point favorites at CRIS. However, despite receiving 61% of spread bets the line has dropped to Duke -2 across the sports betting marketplace. This reverse line movement is an excellent sharp money indicator and suggests that wise guys and betting syndicates have been pounding the host Tar Heels.
 
The line graph below, which is included in all of our odds memberships, shows the line movement at CRIS since this game opened Tuesday afternoon.
 
Although North Carolina has won five straight games, they have struggled recently at home against Duke. The Tar Heels have lost four of their past five home games against the Devils and have failed to cover the spread in six of their past seven. The chart below, which is available on our matchups page, displays the head-to-head details from the last ten North Carolina vs. Duke meetings.

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